Bournemouth vs Brighton
Bournemouth have been super impressive, conceding a combined xG of 0.54 in their last 180 minutes. Going forward, they have accumulated 5.48 xG across the opening rounds which included away games against both Spurs and Liverpool. Underlying stats are really promising, and I back them to get the job done at home. Semenyo is a real handful, and I expect him to again be involved.
Suggested Bet: Bournemouth win @ $2.40
Crystal Palace vs Sunderland
Palace have a very settled backline and quality goalkeeper in Dean Henderson. They are currently on a run of 9 games undefeated in the Premier League, though this does include games at the back end of last season. Glasner is a great manager, and they still boast firepower in the squad despite losing Eze to Arsenal and Sarr to injury. Sunderland have so far outperformed xG, and could be in for a tougher night at Selhurst Park.
Suggested Bet: Crystal Palace win to nil @ $2.75
Everton vs Aston Villa
Everton are in a bit of a purple patch of form, winning 4 of their last 5 in the league. The addition of Jack Grealish seems to have unlocked their attack, while they are usually sound defensively, especially at home. Contrastingly, Aston Villa have failed to impress over the opening rounds, boasting the second worst xG (2.50) in the league, while accumulating more xGc than 75% of the competition. I do think things will click eventually, however unsure if it will be this week.
Suggested Bet: Everton win @ $2.80
West Ham vs Tottenham
West Ham looked horrid across the first two rounds, then turned in a great performance against Forest just before the international break. Spurs have looked much better under Frank and have had a decent transfer window, securing a few late big name signings. The last 3 times the two sides have met at the London Stadium have ended in a draw, and I think West Ham will have just enough to avoid defeat once again.
Suggested Bet: Draw @ $3.75
