The NRL is getting increasingly harder to predict each week, so am looking for some value this week to try and take advantage! As always, gamble responsibly!
Sea Eagles vs Dragons – 4 Pines Park, Sydney
Backing Manly to be too strong at home despite still being without Tom Trbojevic. There is a potential for showers late in the afternoon which could turn this into a bit of a grind. Holmes has 2 tries in his last 3 games and is a focal point in the favoured left edge for the Dragons.
Suggested Bet: Manly -3.5, Under 49.5 points, Holmes ATS @ $13
Bulldogs vs Rabbitohs – Accor Stadium, Sydney
Campbell Graham is on the wing and great value for a try at $2.60. The Dogs continue to grind out results and get some key players back this week. Souths will compete, but the Dogs class will shine through.
Suggested Bet: Campbell Graham ATS, Bulldogs 1-12 @ $7
Dolphins vs Storm – Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
This bet is reliant on Hughes being a late out and Wishart starting the game. Once team news hits, be quick before odds change!
Suggested Bet: Storm -12.5, Tyran Wishart ATS @ $7
Warriors vs Broncos – Go Media Stadium, Auckland
The Warriors are without Nicoll-Klokstad, Fisher-Harris, Tuivasa-Sheck & Rocco Berry. With the Broncos being largely full strength and coming off an 8 day turn around, we expect them to get the job done. Reece Walsh with a point to prove at his old stomping ground to make a charge for an origin jersey?
Suggested Bet: Broncos -7.5, Reece Walsh ATS @ $3.50
Roosters vs Panthers – Allianz Stadium, Sydney
Tipping Penrith to bounce back here after the Roosters got the chocolates in their previous meeting this year. Sooner or later they have to turn things round – Nathan Cleary could be in for a big one!
Suggested Bet: James Tedesco ATS, Over 44.5 points, Penrith -8.5 @ $12
Titans vs Raiders – Cbus Super Stadium, Gold Coast
Tough game to pick so looking for some value here. Our model has the Raiders as a 7 point favourite, so potentially some value in backing Raiders with the line as this is still at 3.5. I am going to get greedy here and back the Raiders to get it done in both halves.
Suggested Bet: Raiders WBH, Jojo Fifita ATS @ $8
Knights vs Sharks – McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle
Newcastle have been horrible of late and are really struggling to score points. Sharks are due to put some points on someone after some less than desirable results recently. The Knights have a good defensive record so far but I attribute that more to how soft their opening draw has been.
Suggested Bet: Under 44.5 points, Hiroti ATS, Sharks 13+ @ $15
Wests Tigers vs Eels – CommBank Stadium, Sydney
Going with a narrative bet on this one for some fun.
Suggested Bet: Luai ATS, Moses ATS, Parra 1-12 @ $45
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